A supercomputer has made its Super Bowl predictions, and it’s not trying good for Travis Kelce, Taylor Swift and the Chiefs.
Opta Analyst’s projection mannequin is giving the Bills a league-high 13.4 p.c likelihood of profitable Super Bowl 2026, with Kansas City having the second-best odds at 9.6 p.c.
The Eagles and Jaguars have the fourth-best projections, with 8.7 and 8.1 p.c odds to win the title, respectively.
Opta Analyst’s NFL season projection. theanalyst.com
The projection mannequin seems to be at each team’s quarterback and effectivity vs. expected efficiency in phrases of yardage in passing conditions.
Then, it analyzes each regular-season matchup and gives every team an expected win share.
The Bills, for occasion, have a projected 11.1 wins and 5.8 losses, while the Saints are predicted to be the NFL’s worst team with an expected 5.4 wins and 11.5 losses.
Opta Analyst gives Travis Kelce and the Chiefs the second-best odds to win the Super Bowl. Getty Images
Because Opta’s mannequin contains ties in its regular-season simulation, projections sometimes do not add up precisely to 17 video games.
The projection mannequin is considerably in line with Super Bowl champion betting odds forward of the preseason, albeit with a few main discrepancies.
FanDuel Sportsbook has the Ravens (+650) with the greatest odds of profitable the title, although Opta’s mannequin has Baltimore with the sixth-best odds.
Josh Allen and the Bills have the greatest odds to win Super Bowl 2026, according to Opta. Getty Images
And although the mannequin likes the Jaguars to be one of the greatest groups in the AFC, FanDuel has Jacksonville as a large lengthy shot to win the Super Bowl with 70/1 odds.
But the Bills are not an outlandish decide to win the title – FanDuel has the Bills with the second-best Super Bowl odds (+700), adopted by the Eagles (+750) and Chiefs (+850).
Opta, owned by sports activities AI firm Stats Perform, also has projections for nearly every other main sports activities league, including MLB, the NBA and the Premier League.
Its preseason projections last 12 months had the 49ers as the overwhelming favorites last 12 months and Kansas City with the third-best odds, while the eventual champion Eagles didn’t even crack the prime 5.
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