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Let’s begin by addressing the market’s perceived margin between the American and Italian girls’s ice hockey groups in the 2026 Winter Olympics quarterfinal spherical.
The United States is a 6.5-goal favourite and -50000 on the moneyline for Friday’s 3:10 p.m. puck drop.
So, if you wagered $50,000 on the United States to win, you would obtain a $100 payout if your wager cashed.
In prediction market phrases, the United States displays a 99 p.c probability on Kalshi. You would want to threat 99 cents to make one cent on United States “Yes” contracts.
Olympic hockey strains can cause bettors to have eyes greater than their stomachs since the vary of expertise is so huge. It’s not typically we see groups at the best-on-best stage handicapped miles away from one another.
Women’s hockey: United States vs. Italy odds, prediction
The United States, the No. 1 seed in Group A and general, cruised to 4-0 with a tournament-leading plus-19 aim differential in the preliminary video games.
It has allowed one complete aim, principally thanks to an unwavering forecheck.
This is far and away the deepest roster in the area, with 5 gamers rating in the top-10 level scorers.
Italy celebrates during a preliminary spherical recreation. AP
Defenseman Caroline Harvey is tied for the lead with seven factors and a plus-10 ranking.
Italy, the No. 3 seed from Group B and No. 8 general, sleepwalked its manner to 2-2 with victories over France and Japan, the two eradicated international locations from quarterfinal play.
When it confronted Sweden, the other undefeated team in the match, it lost 6-1.
It’s Italy’s first bid back into the Olympics for girls’s hockey since 2006, when it last hosted in Turin.
Italy has never had a end higher than sixteenth at the World Championships, so cracking the quarterfinal spherical with three targets from ahead Matilde Fantin far exceeded expectations.
Betting on the NHL?
The Americans just squashed their greatest rival in Canada, 5-0, shutting them out for the first time in Olympic historical past.
The query is how the Italians can comply with that in even mustering enough offensive zone time, not to mention producing scoring possibilities.
This is the second time I’m laying 6.5 targets in these Games — and both were against Italy, no less, having carried out so in Wednesday’s males’s opener with Sweden.
That wager didn’t money, but the distinction here is this carries the severity of the elimination spherical, and the Americans have the empirical momentum to fade an inferior problem this severely.
They’re that good.
THE PLAY: United States -6.5 (-120, DraftKings)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and faculty soccer for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that replicate market worth while monitoring developments to mitigate threat.
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