Gambling content material 21+. The New York Post may obtain an affiliate fee if you signal up through our hyperlinks. Read our editorial requirements for more info.
A Happy Halloween from the UFC.
For the first time in six years, the UFC returns on Halloween evening with a respectable card this weekend.
Twelve fights are on faucet, headlined by Renato Moicano against Tom Nolan, a legitimately enjoyable light-weight bout.
Nine of these fights are expected to finish inside the distance, according to the oddsmakers. Let’s dive in to the greatest bets of UFC Vegas 123:
UFC Fight Night Vegas 123 predictions
Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan
Moicano has been a bit of a gatekeeper for this division, dropping only to the greatest that 155 kilos has to supply. He even has some wins against elite expertise. He defeated Benoit Saint Denis by knockout and also submitted lots of other stable fighters, including Alexander Hernandez and Jai Herbert.
This combat is the largest of Nolan’s profession, by far. He headlines a UFC occasion for the first time and has never gone a full 25 minutes in his MMA profession. Moicano represents a sizeable step up in competitors for Nolan.
For that purpose, I’m focusing on Moicano to proceed to flip away lesser competitors as Nolan doesn’t defend takedowns too properly and he’s been knocked down twice against far worse competitors.
Can’t belief Nolan in this combat, and I’ll instead goal Moicano to win inside the distance of this five-round combat.
Prediction: Moicano wins inside the distance (+200, FanDuel).
Jacobe Smith is one of the greatest athletes in the UFC. Zuffa LLC
Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith
We’ll be taught everything we want to know about Smith this week.
Smith, who is arguably the greatest athlete in the UFC, has been one of the most sought-after prospects in UFC historical past, coming in as a large favourite in all of his fights as the largest 170-pound fighter out there.
Saturday’s co-main occasion combat against Randy Brown is the lowest favourite he’s been in his six-fight UFC profession.
Brown, nicknamed “Rudeboy,” is a grizzled vet, with 22 UFC fights to his file, but through all of these I can’t discover an athlete as spectacular as Smith.
Smith is taking this combat on brief discover, but I still see Smith’s worth as a cut price, all issues thought-about.
Smith averages an obscene 7.92 takedowns per quarter-hour and a large 6.91 vital strikes per minute, some of the largest numbers we’ve ever seen.
This is a buy-low spot on Smith, who is still undefeated in his UFC profession.
Prediction: Jacobe Smith wins by KO/TKO in Round 1 (+350, Hard Rock Bet); Live wager Brown stay if he survives Round 1.
UFC Vegas 123 full card picks
Ode’ Osbourne vs. Cody Durden: Fight goes the distance (+150, FanDuel) | small wager Osbourne by submission (+650, Kalshi).
Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos: Yana Santos moneyline (+260, theScore Bet).
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Lebosnoyani by KO/TKO (+420, FanDuel).
Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope: Marshall by submission (+440, FanDuel).
Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Theodor Berggren: Sezinando by submission (+488, Kalshi).
Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee: Erosa by KO/TKO (+700, DraftKings).
Zach Reese vs. Mickey Gall: Gall by KO/TKO (+2000, DraftKings/BetRivers).
Nick Klein vs. Joe Kropschot: Pass.
Talita Alencar vs. Piera Rodriguez: Alencar moneyline (+240, BetMGM) | Alencar by determination (+460, FanDuel).
Lucia Szabová vs. Tainara Lisboa: Szabova by submission (+200, FanDuel).
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the soccer season he’s showcased large earnings at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While continually betting lengthy photographs, his return on funding is 30.15 p.c since 2022.
Source hyperlink
