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After a sturdy week in Canada betting on combined martial arts, we head back to Las Vegas for another UFC Fight Night.
This weekend’s card options 13 fights inside the Apex, where a whopping 9 are projected to go the distance, far more than earlier playing cards.
Last week, we nailed the primary and co-main occasions as half of a wild 10-2 run, profiting an insane 8.45 models. Runs like that are something out of a dream, where you just can’t miss.
We look to preserve the good occasions rolling at UFC Vegas 116, headlined by former champion Aljamain Sterling.
Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal
Perhaps a main altering of the guard is incoming at featherweight as Zalal comes in as a favourite against Sterling, the former bantamweight champion.
Zalal is a strong submission grappler, but there’s no means I can belief him as a favourite here.
Sterling is a rock-solid grappler with sturdy back takes and might even be the higher striker here.
Opponents Aljamain Sterling and Youssef Zalal of Morocco face off during the UFC weigh-in at Meta APEX on April 24, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Zuffa LLC
Zalal has 4 submission wins in his last 5 fights and has improved, but if this struggle goes the full 25 minutes, I like Sterling to cowl his value and then some.
Target Sterling by determination as my favourite wager on the card — by far.
Prediction: Sterling by determination (+260, FanDuel).
Norma Dumont vs. Joselyne Edwards
At girls’s bantamweight, we have a large struggle with title implications for Dumont and Edwards.
This should be a legitimately attention-grabbing struggle, as Edwards has 4 straight finishes. That’s a sight for sore eyes in girls’s MMA, which is sometimes bereft of end upside.
Regardless, Dumont is a -235 favourite and is the much higher grappler, while Edwards should make it aggressive on the toes.
I’ll take the grappler here because Edwards’ takedown protection is fairly ugly (just 61 %), while Dumont should be ready to shoot for a number of takedowns and get a win.
It’s not the most enjoyable to watch, but it’s the path to least resistance where Dumont could get a title struggle with a win later this yr.
Prediction: Dumont by determination (-150, bet365).
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Rest of the card
Rafa Garcia vs. Alexander Hernandez: Hernandez moneyline (-122, FanDuel)
Davey Grant vs. Adrián Luna Martinetti: Grant moneyline (-126, FanDuel)
Montel Jackson vs. Raoni Barcelos: Fight goes the distance (-140, theScore Bet); Barcelos by determination (+280, BetRivers)
Marcus Buchecha vs. Ryan Spann: Buchecha by submission (+180, FanDuel)
Rodolfo Vieira vs. Eric McConico: McConico stay after Round 1
Jackson McVey vs. Sedriques Dumas: Fight goes the distance (+425, theScore Bet)
Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague: Fight goes to determination (-175, DraftKings)
Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden: Filho moneyline for parlays
Francis Marshall vs. Lucas Brennan: Marshall by determination or knockout (-170, DraftKings)
Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela: Griffin by determination (+250, BetMGM)
Talita Alencar vs. Julia Polastri: Fight goes the distance for parlays (-250, Fanatics Sportsbook)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
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